Tropical Forest Forever Facility (TFFF): Estimated Country Payouts, 2024 and 2025

ⓘ  README — About This Dashboard

TFFF Estimated Payouts by Country Considering CN3.0 Criteria

Sources of Data

• JRC TMF — Annual deforestation and degradation, available in GEE:
  ee.ImageCollection('projects/JRC/TMF/v1_2025/AnnualChanges')
• Hansen GFC — Annual tree cover loss, available in GEE:
  ee.Image('UMD/hansen/global_forest_change_2025_v1_13')
• Hansen GFC — Annual tree cover loss due to fire, available in GEE:
  users/sashatyu/2001-2025_fire_forest_loss_annual
• MODIS — Data on fires, available in GEE:
  ee.ImageCollection('MODIS/061/MCD64A1')

Issues to Consider

• Hansen GFC data is masked using the Tropical and Subtropical Moist Forest ecoregion. JRC TMF is not masked by ecoregion but maintains the original data geographical scope.
• Hansen GFC considers forests with a canopy cover higher than 30%.
• All tree cover loss due to fire under Hansen GFC is considered as degraded forests. MODIS data is used as a proxy for degradation in JRC TMF estimates.
• Plantations are excluded as estimated by the JRC TMF land cover dataset in 2020.
• This analysis does not consider the condition of decreasing deforestation, as it excludes countries with rates below 0.5% in the previous year.

Scenarios

Alongside the observed figures, the dashboard reports counterfactual scenarios. They scale the payout year only — the underlying data, the country set and the criteria are unchanged. Three are named as buttons:

• Observed — deforestation and degradation exactly as measured.
• S1 · Half — deforestation and degradation both at 50% of observed.
• S2 · Zero — no deforestation and no degradation in the payout year.

The two sliders set any other proportion. They move together while the 🔗 link is on; switch it off to set deforestation and degradation independently. That distinction matters because the penalties are not comparable — $400/ha for deforestation within the tier against $140/ha for degradation — so a country's best move is not always to cut both by the same share.

The full calculation chain is documented on the Method sheet of TFFF_dashboard_data_with_scenarios.xlsx, the workbook these figures come from.

Notes on Years

• 2024 — Estimates based on deforestation data by 2024 released in 2025.
• 2024 Revised — Estimates for 2024 revised in updated data series by 2025 released in 2026.
• 2025 — Data estimates by 2025 released in 2026.

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